The Conservatives are on track to lose more than 800 seats on local councils next month as a result, which, if re-run in the next general election, will lead Sir Keira Starmer, Labor’s leader, to become prime minister.
Electoral calculations and Find Out Now predict a 5 percent Tory turnout for Labor in the May 5 local elections in England and Wales.
If repeated in a general election, the figures suggest Labor will be the largest party in parliament, with 15 members from the majority, and will likely rely on a power-sharing agreement with the SNP to form a government.
The polls asked about the intentions of more than 12,000 people in 201 district and unitary councils to vote between April 4th and April 8th. The sample was then weighed by gender, age, social class and voting pattern in the past.
Electoral analysis and Find Out Now found that the Tories were likely to lose 810 seats – with their constituencies falling from 1965 to 1,155 – while Labor won 835, giving the party 3,722 seats.
Labor is expected to take valuable advice from Tories, including Wandsworth, a totemic authority on the party as an early supporter of Thatcher’s policy of selling townhouses and privatizing street cleaning and waste collection.
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