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A new poll shows Republicans have the upper hand before this year’s midterm elections, including among groups more traditionally affiliated with the Democratic Party.
When asked which party they are likely to vote for in their constituency, 52% of Latin American voters said they would vote Republican, compared to 39% who said they would prefer a Democrat, according to a new NPR and Marist poll. Democrats also lag behind voters under the age of 45, with 50 percent saying they would vote Republican, compared to 40 percent who say they plan to vote Democrat.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (AP Photo / J. Scott Applewhite)
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Latinos have traditionally preferred to vote for Democrats, but recent figures show that the group has begun to distance itself from the party in recent years. Younger voters have also traditionally turned to Democrats, with 55% of those aged 30-49 supporting President Biden in 2020 and 59% of those aged 18-29 voting for Biden.
Republicans also enjoy a lead among independent voters, with 45% saying they would vote Republican, compared with 38% saying they would support a Democrat.
But both groups can help the Republican Party win in 2022, with a total of 47% of voters saying they would choose a Republican candidate, compared to 44% who said they would support a Democrat.
Democrats have historically outnumbered Republicans in the congressional election, the first time the Republican Party has led a poll since gaining control of the House of Representatives and the Senate in 2014. A lead of just a few points could create problems for Democrats is three points behind six months before the election.
California House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (AP Photo / Susan Walsh)
of President Biden the approval rating also remains underwater, with 41% of voters saying they approve of the president’s work, compared with 51% disapproving. Of those who disapprove, 37% said they strongly disapprove of Biden’s performance.
Economic problems are at the forefront of directing voters toward Republicans, with 42 percent saying they believe the Republican Party would do a better job with the economy than 26 percent who believe Democrats are better prepared to deal with the problem. Voters also support Republicans when it comes to inflation, with 41% saying they trust the Republican Party more to control inflation, compared to 20% who say Democrats would be better off.
President Biden (AP Photo / Carolyn Kaster, File)
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Republicans also have an edge in tackling crime, national security, immigration and gun rights.
The survey was conducted between April 19 and 26, with 1,377 adults surveyed with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.
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