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Mike Dewain will win the GOP primary for governor of Ohio

A voter puts his ballot in a scanner while voting in the Indianapolis, Indiana primary on Tuesday, May 3rd. (Michael Conroy / AP)

The vote in Ohio and Indiana on Tuesday marks the beginning of a busy primary month that will set some of the key contests for this year’s interim mandate.

In both states, voters will choose their nominations in recently redesigned congressional districts. In the Cleveland area, this means a rematch of the Democratic Party, which could offer a window to the strength of the party’s progressive wing for more than a year in Joe Biden’s presidency.

Here are five things to watch on Tuesday:

Wide Senate primary elections: The race of seven Republican candidates to replace retiring Republican Sen. Rob Portman includes a large number of undecided primary voters choosing from a series of options: the candidate approved by former President Trump; one of several who tried to emulate him; or one that represents an end to Trumpism.

Studies show that Trump-backed JD Vance, author and venture capitalist of Hillbilly Elegy, and Josh Mandel, a former treasurer who embraced Trump’s cultural battles and campaigned with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, are leading the way. .

However, there are some indications that Senator Matt Dolan woke up late. Dolan, whose family owns the Cleveland Guardians of Major League Baseball, is the only candidate who has not repeated Trump’s lies about election fraud. Dolan saw shares rise in a Fox News survey last week, garnering 11 percent support from 7 percent in March.

Other Republican Senate candidates, self-funded businessman Mike Gibbons and former Republican Republican Speaker Jane Timken, Portman’s preferred candidate, have faded in polls in the final stages of the race.

Trump’s influence test: Mandel’s campaign signs say he is “for God, for weapons, for Trump.” Gibbons proposed himself as a businessman, not a politician, in the mold of Trump. Timken highlighted Trump’s role in her promotion to president in 2017.

But the former president avoided them all and backed Vance, who was a staunch opponent of Trump in 2016 but has since denied the criticism. Trump’s decision infuriated many Republicans in Ohio and confused some Republican voters, who were immediately bombarded by pro-Vance ads highlighting Trump’s support and anti-Vance ads showing him he could vote for Hillary Clinton in 2016. and that some Trump supporters “voted for (Trump) for racist reasons.”

Tim Ryan seeks seat in Ohio: Democratic Senate primary election Ryan against attorney Morgan Harper is largely out of the question. How Ryan positions himself in the general election – and what his candidacy for the future of Democrats in the state will say – will be anything but inevitable.

Ryan is striving to do something that has eluded all Democrats who have not been named Senator Sherod Brown for years: Win a race in Ohio State. No Democrat except Brown has won an out-of-court position in Ohio since 2008, and President Barack Obama was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win Ohio in 2012. Ryan is also trying to accomplish this feat in a particularly difficult one. moment for Democrats as the party faces historical and economic cross winds.

Fighting for the Democratic Party – Again: For the second time in less than a year, Democrats Schontel Brown, now a member of the House, and Nina Turner are facing a tough race to nominate their party in Ohio’s 11th Congressional District.

Although Brown is now incumbent, the Progressives are once again campaigning for a strong Democratic seat – as they seek to ensure that whatever it is in November, House Democrats are a more progressive group in the next Congress. Turner has the support of leading progressives across the country and, like last year, the editorial board of The Plain Dealer in Cleveland.

Brown’s side is with President Joe Biden, who backed it in late April, along with a handful of senior Democrats and moderate outside groups such as Israel’s Democratic Majority for the Super PAC, which says it has spent more than 1.1 million dollars for her campaign.

Ohio Gov. Mike DeWain, left, signs his ballot in front of precinct worker Tonya Weld as he prepares to vote in Cedarville, Ohio, on Tuesday, May 3rd. (Paul Vernon / AP)

The Republican primary clash that wasn’t: There was a time when incumbent Gov. Mike DeWain seemed vulnerable to a challenge from candidates who sided with Trump on the right.

No longer.

DeWain, who has spent decades in federal and state offices, is a conservative establishment in Ohio, but even when the state is moving right, Dewain – both temperamentally and politically – remains in the middle of the GOP.

The victory for DeWine in the campaign season in Ohio, dominated by the wild primary election in the Republican Senate, will also highlight the unique difficulties faced by right-wing candidates backed or supported by Trump in statewide elections, where a certain degree of moderation it seems to be more attractive than in federal competitions.

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