Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party increased their lead ahead of next week’s Ontario election, according to a new study.
The Nanos Research survey of 504 adult voters was commissioned by CTV News and CP24 and was conducted over the weekend.
He found that the Tories continue to have a comfortable advantage among determined voters, with the NDP and the Liberal parties vying for second place.
The sociologist said that 37.3% of voters who decided to vote in his latest poll intend to vote for computers, compared to 36.1% last week and 35.4% the previous week.
The Liberals remain in second place with 28 percent, but are now challenged by Andrea Horvat and the NDP, who won three points last week and are now 23.2 percent among determined voters.
The Green Party is in fourth place with 6.3%, while the New Blue Party is 3% and the Ontario Party is 1.7%.
The race is close in the GTA, where Ford and the Tories have only four points ahead of the Liberals. But in the rest of Ontario, the party enjoys a 15-point lead over the Liberals.
Ford also seems to be gaining popularity as the campaign continues, although it faces some criticism for holding fewer public events than other leaders.
The latest Nanos survey shows that 33.8% of respondents chose the computer leader as their preferred choice for prime minister, up from 29.9% at the start of the campaign.
Liberal leader Stephen Del Duca was second with 23.4 percent (1.8 percentage points more than last week), while Horvat was third with 17.5 percent (down 0.5 percentage points).
Mike Schreiner of the Green Party is fourth with 9.8 percent. He made the biggest gains in the campaign, after being initially named as the preferred prime minister by just 4.3% of those polled on May 2nd.
The survey also found that respondents tended to perceive Schreiner’s performance in the campaign as better than other leaders.
He received an average score of 5.7 out of 10, compared with 5.1 for Ford and 4.5 for Del Duca and Horvat.
“You know, a number of Ontario residents weren’t sure who they preferred as prime minister at the start of the campaign, but Ford is now four points ahead of the campaign, Del Duca is six points, Schreiner is six points ahead, the only leader of the provincial party, which is down from the start of the campaign, is Andrea Horvat, “Nick Nanos, founder and chief scientist of Nanos Research, told CP24. “Many of the party leaders have managed to achieve some strength. But for Croats personally, not so much compared to those numbers in early May. “
The cost of living continues to be a major problem
Meanwhile, when it comes to issues, the cost of living continues to be the main consideration for ballot boxes.
The latest Nanos survey found that 18.9% of respondents now identify inflation as the most important issue, compared to 11.9% at the beginning of the campaign.
Health remains the most important problem in general, with 25% of respondents identifying it as the most important problem in the province.
The environment was identified as a major problem by 9.7 per cent of respondents, while housing (6.8 per cent), the economy (6.7 per cent), education (4.7 per cent) and fuel prices (3, 7 percent) are also frequently mentioned.
“These elections, in addition to focusing on health care, seem to be related to the cost of living, the rising price of gas and how Ontario residents are just trying to pay their bills,” Nanos said.
Ontarians go to the June 2 election.
METHODOLOGY
Nanos conducted a randomized RDD hybrid telephone and online survey (terrestrial and cell lines) among 504 Ontario residents aged 18 and over between May 21 and May 22, 2022, as part of a follow-up survey. Participants were randomly hired by telephone with the help of live agents and an online survey was administered. The results were statistically verified and weighted by age and gender, using the latest census information and the sample was geographically stratified to be representative of Ontario.
Individuals were called at random by random dialing with a maximum of five callbacks.
The margin of error for a random survey of 504 Ontario residents is ± 4.4 percentage points, 19 times 20.
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