Doug Ford and his Progressive Conservative Party have a seven-point lead ahead of the official start of the provincial election campaign in Ontario tomorrow, a new poll found.
The Nanos study among 500 adults was commissioned on behalf of CTV News and CP24.
He found that the Tories currently have the support of 36.9% of voters in Ontario, while the Liberals, led by Stephen Del Duca, are supported by 30.4% of voters who decided to vote. Andrea Horvat and the NDP are in third place with the support of 23.7 percent of determined voters, while the Greens are far behind with 4.3 percent.
About nine percent of voters have not yet decided.
The results point to a narrow race in the GTA, where the Tories have only one point ahead of the Liberals as the campaign begins (31% to 30%).
But elsewhere in Ontario, the Tories enjoy an 11-point pillow for the Liberals and a 15-point pillow for the NDP.
Overall, the party performed much better among men (42%) than women (25%). In addition, Ontarians over the age of 55 tend to do better (39.6%). The NDP performed better among younger Ontarians aged 18 to 34 (33 percent), but had the support of only 14.6 percent of Ontarians aged 55 and over.
Preferred Prime Minister
As for the election of Ontarians as prime minister, Doug Ford was elected by a number of respondents (29.9%), but his support lagged behind that of the party he leads.
Meanwhile, only 17% of respondents said Stephen Del Duca was their preferred prime minister, despite a much higher share of determined voters who said they intended to run for the party.
The dichotomy was less pronounced for Andrea Horvat. About 22.8% of respondents said the NDP leader was their preferred choice for prime minister, closely following the party’s total.
The survey was conducted between April 28 and May 2, both online and by phone. It is considered to be accurate to 4.4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
METHODOLOGY
Nanos conducted an RDD hybrid telephone and online dual-frame survey (terrestrial and cell lines) at random among 500 Ontario residents aged 18 or over, between April 28 and May 2, 2022, as part of an omnibus survey.
The results were statistically verified and weighted by age and gender, using the latest census information and the sample was geographically stratified to be representative of Ontario. Individuals were called at random by random dialing with a maximum of five callbacks. The margin of error for a random survey of 500 Ontario residents is ± 4.4 percentage points, 19 times 20.
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