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Most opinion polls now show that Ontarians are ready to re-elect computers, with liberals looking to lead the NDP in a tough battle for second place.
Publication date:
May 2, 2022 • 10 hours ago • 3 minutes reading • 28 comments Ontario Prime Minister Doug Ford talks to workers as he visits the launch site of the Metrolinx Subway Expansion Project in Scarborough on April 29, 2022. Photo: Chris Young / The Canadian Press
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Both the New Democrats and the Ontario Liberals rule out the possibility of trying to form a coalition to try to form a government if Doug Ford’s current progressive conservatives win a minority in the upcoming provincial election.
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As the prime minister is expected to call elections next week, the NDP and the Liberals say they are not interested in forming an alliance similar to the “supply and trust” agreement signed last month between Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and NDP federal leader Jagmit Singh. This agreement led to the NDP’s agreement to provide Trudeau’s minority government with guaranteed support, which allowed him to rule as if he had a majority. In 2008, the Federal Liberals, the NDP and the Bloc Québécois also tried to form a coalition of opposition parties shortly after the Conservatives lost the federal election, although the plan failed.
Asked if the two provincial parties could plan to try to form a ruling coalition if they have enough seats, an Ontario NDP official simply said no.
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An NDP spokesman said in an e-mail statement that the party was focusing on defeating Ford alone and did not need the Liberals. “Only 10 seats separate us from forming a government and we will run in the 40-seat election,” the statement said. “Stephen Del Duca’s Liberals have only seven seats. They cannot win this election. “
A spokesman for the Liberal Party in Ontario said they were also not interested in taking relations with the NDP to the next level. “Voters in Ontario know you’re voting for a liberal to get rid of the Conservatives.
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Although the Ontario election is not expected to be called by next week, the campaign unofficially kicked off on Thursday with the announcement of the 2022 provincial budget, followed by a postponement of the legislature until the June 2 election deadline. This means that the current legislature will not get a chance to discuss or even vote on the budget, instead the Tories will use the budget as a platform presented to voters.
Most opinion polls now show that Ontarians are ready to re-elect the RS, with the Liberals looking to lead the NDP in a tough battle for second place.
Eric Merkley, an assistant professor of political science at the University of Toronto, said it was not surprising that there was not much appetite for any management partnership talks at the moment.
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“There is still some uncertainty, but the Liberals seem to have an advantage over the NDP at the moment in the polls, but things may change in the election,” he said.
“It will not be surprising if there is some dynamic of the campaign that brings progressive voters back to the NDP camp and away from the liberals.
Only two polls this year predicted computer losses, and both were reported in January: a January 11 Innovative Research Group study suggests a razor-thin one percentage point victory for Liberals over PCs, while a January 12 Angus Reid Institute survey shows NDP dethroned tori with a three-point advantage.
A Postmedia / Leger poll published earlier this month suggests that inflation and rising living costs are number one among voters, with the COVID-19 pandemic number three.
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In this poll, 39 percent of determined voters intend to vote for the PC, with 25 percent supporting the Liberals and 24 percent for the NDP.
Among the biggest obstacles for the Liberals, Merklee said, is the lack of recognition of the name of Stephen Del Duca, a 10-year-old lawmaker, former cabinet minister and leader of the Ontario Liberals since March 2020.
An April 19 Abacus poll found that nearly 60 percent of respondents said they didn’t know much about the Liberal leader, compared to 39 percent for NDP leader Andrea Horvat and 15 percent for PC leader Doug Ford.
Obstructing the NDP’s chances are problems that are disappointingly common for longtime New Democrats.
“The NDP is usually the third party in Ontario politics, they have this problem at the federal level,” Merklee said.
“It’s hard to break through. There are just a lot more party liberals you have to get on to compete one-on-one with PCs. ”
• Email: bpassifiume@postmedia.com | Twitter: bryanpassifiume
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