The party that conducted the analysis said Thursday’s results served as a “warning shot” for conservative Blue Wall lawmakers.
Last year, the Tories lost Chesham and Amersham, another wealthy constituency in their home constituency that voted to stay, with the Liberal Democrats revoking a 16,000-majority majority in a seat that has always voted conservative in midterm elections.
Since then, revelations by Downing Street parties during the blockade, in addition to increasing national security, have further alienated many traditional Tory voters.
The analysis showed that Stephen Hammond, a former health minister under Theresa May, would lose his seat at Wimbledon to the Democrats by eight percent of the vote.
Meanwhile, Alex Chalk, the attorney general, will be defeated in Cheltenham, with the Liberal Democrats winning 57.4% of the vote against his 28.3%.
The seats of Tory grands Sir John Redwood and Sir Ian Duncan Smith will also be lost, according to last week’s results, to the Liberal Democrats and Labor, respectively.
Wes Street, the shadow health minister, tweeted on Friday:
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