Labor has opened up a 10-point lead over the Conservatives, which could put Sir Keir Starmer on course to win a majority in the House of Commons, according to an exclusive i survey.
The BMG Research poll found Labor would win 42 per cent of the vote in a general election, with the Tories trailing on 32 per cent. The Liberal Democrats were on 11 percent, while Reform UK and the Greens each garnered 4 percent of the public’s support.
The survey was conducted largely before the resignations of Rishi Sunak and Sajid Javid and does not account for a possible change in leadership.
It suggests that in the event of a snap general election, Sir Keir’s party would have a reasonable chance of winning a majority in parliament, winning dozens of constituencies from the Conservatives despite trailing by more than 150 at the start.
Last week, the prime minister said he was not considering calling a snap election after persistent rumors he might choose the gambit to unify his party.
Mr. Johnson’s personal approval rating is -44, with 20 percent of voters saying they approve of the job he is doing and 64 percent disapproving of his performance.
Sir Keir’s net approval rating is nil, with 30 per cent of those polled saying they support his leadership of Labour, and another 30 per cent disaffected.
BMG’s Iota Papuridou said: “Our research shows that only one in five are satisfied with the Prime Minister’s performance and almost one in three of those who do not plan to vote Conservative cite Boris Johnson’s premiership as a key obstacle, a major an issue that the Conservatives will make must be addressed before the next election.
More from Politics
“The leader they saw beat Corbyn in 2019 is now as unpopular as the man he beat. With a net satisfaction rating of -44, Johnson now matches Jeremy Corbyn’s ratings at the lowest point during his time as Labor leader.
“It is hardly a comparison that will give his party confidence that the Prime Minister is capable of turning things around and it already appears that some in the Cabinet have begun to take matters into their own hands.”
Election experts have warned that the scale of swing needed for Labor to win a majority is almost unprecedented.
BMG Research interviewed a representative sample of 1,521 GB adults online between June 28 and July 1. Data are weighted. BMG is a member of the British Polling Council.
Add Comment